Tim Dupuis Alameda County Registrar Talks 2022 Oakland Mayoral Election Rank Choice Voting Anomaly

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2hg-dSjXEs

Oakland News Online Blog – vlog by Zennie62 YouTube. OaklandNewsOnline.com is the original blog post for this content.

Tim Dupuis Alameda County Registrar Talks 2022 Oakland Mayoral Election Rank Choice Voting Anomaly

The problem is explained in this entry from Oakland News Now: Sheng Thao and Allyssa Victory did not campaign together for months. And on top of that, I asked Allyssa Victory if Sheng Thao was her second choice and she said “No. Greg Hodge was.” But we both agreed that perhaps it was Shang mentioning that Allyssa was her second choice. But if that were the case, then Allyssa Victory should have picked up a large number of Sheng Thao Rank Choice Voting votes – but that never happened.

What did happen was that a shockingly uniform number percentage of votes was transferred from Allyssa Victory to Sheng Thao: 59.64 percent, rounding to 60 percent. That was true for the most recent run and the one a day before it. On that November 17th day, I vlogged “Sheng got 6,475 votes from Allyssa Victory or about 60 percent of the 10,882 votes she had to give.” That same percentage appeared yet again for the same transfer of votes from Allyssa Victory to Sheng Thao on November 17th, too.

Moreover, that Allyssa Victory was giving the majority of her votes to Sheng Thao in a giant sized batch is a pattern I noticed from the second day of Rank Choice Voting runs up to Friday. While I did not check the percentage then, I would not be surprised if it came up to about 60 percent, as it looked to me at the time.

And in this interview with Allyssa from two days ago, at the 5:30 mark, I note that she gave over 58 percent of her sharable Rank Choice votes to Sheng when I presented the run from Wednesday, November 16th. That’s just less than one percent difference from Thursday and Friday. Note that Allyssa does admit she had Greg Hodge as her number two but says that people can vote however they want. For me, the point is Allyssa ‘s people had a weird pattern of picking Sheng 58-59 percent of the time, through the entire run:

I find it very concerning that the same 59.64 percent, rounding to 60 percent percentage of votes was shared from Allyssa Victory to Sheng Thao for each of these runs. I hate to say it, but that looks fishy: as if someone was pre-picking votes for Sheng using a code that broke off 60 percent of the votes and dumped them into Sheng’s column on a spreadsheet. One should expect an uneven, or “non-linear” pattern; this one is far too machine-like.

Why the uniform outcome on a per-run-basis? That’s to be investigated. It’s way too weird, specially since Sheng was not Allyssa’s second choice and their names were not even next to each other on the 2022 Oakland Election Ballot.

I want to make sure you understand the gravity of this problem. First, we presumably have votes counted each day for each candidate. Second, one should expect that the percentage of those new votes counted and shared in Rank Choice Voting to be different for each day of the vote count, right? Third, that’s where the problem comes in: the vote. The percentage of those new votes counted and shared in Rank Choice Voting from Allyssa Victory to Sheng Thao is for all practical purposes nearly the exact same percentage each day. That makes no sense at all for that pattern to turn up three to four times in a row – unless it was predetermined. But that’s what happened.

Tim Dupuis Agrees This Pattern Or Anomaly Should Be Checked Out, Says His Office Will Take A Look At It

As you can see, Tim Dupuis agrees that the pattern is one that should be checked out, even as he expressed confidence in the system. He says that ultimately the California Secretary of State is responsible for the outcome.

Stay tuned.

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